Saturday, January 14, 2012

Unemployment benefit applications jump to 399,000 (AP)

WASHINGTON ? Applications for weekly unemployment benefits spiked last week, largely because companies let go of thousands of workers after the holiday season.

Weekly applications rose by 24,000 to a seasonally adjusted 399,000, the Labor Department said Thursday. That's the highest level in six weeks.

Economists said such a jump is typical in early January and downplayed the increase. It followed three months of steady declines that brought applications to their lowest level in more than three years. And weekly unemployment claims have been below 400,000 in nine of the past 10 weeks.

That's a "clear indication that the pace of layoffs has slowed," said Steven Wood, chief economist at Insight Economics.

Applications typically soar in the first two weeks of the year. That's because many companies lay off temporary workers who were brought on to help during the holidays. The department tries to adjust for those patterns. But the task is difficult because the data can be volatile.

"We would not read too much into the rebound in initial jobless claims," Paul Dales, an economist at Capital Economics, in a note to clients. "There (are) always problems in seasonally adjusting the weekly data around the turn of the year. As it stands at the moment, the trend in claims remains downwards."

The four-week average, which attempts to smooth such fluctuations, also rose, to 381,750. It had fallen in the previous week to a three-and-a-half-year low.

When applications drop below 375,000 ? consistently ? that generally signals hiring is strong enough to reduce the unemployment rate. Prior to last week's spike, applications had been below 375,000 for three of the past four weeks.

The unemployment rate fell in December to 8.5 percent, a three-year low. Employers added 200,000 net jobs, double November's 100,000 gain.

More people are receiving benefits. The total unemployment benefit rolls increased to 7.3 million in the week ending Dec. 24, the latest data available. That is 111,000 higher than the previous week.

The economy gained 1.6 million jobs last year, up from 940,000 in 2010. Economists forecast roughly 1.9 million more jobs will be added this year, according to a survey by The Associated Press.

Still, the job market has a long way to go before it recovers from the damage inflicted by the Great Recession, which wiped out 8.7 million jobs. There are still more than 13 million unemployed people in the United States. And millions more who have given up looking and are no longer counted among those out of work.

The pickup in hiring reflects greater economic growth. The economy will likely expand by more than 3 percent at an annual rate in the final three months of last year, economists expect. Rising consumer spending will likely power much of the gain. That would be a sharp improvement over the 1.8 percent growth in the July-September quarter.

Even so, economists worry that growth could slow in the first half of 2012. Europe is almost certain to fall into recession because of its financial troubles.

And wages didn't keep pace with inflation last year. So without more jobs and higher pay, consumers may have to cut back on spending. That could drag on growth next year. Consumer spending accounts for 70 percent of economic activity.

Source: http://us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/rss/economy/*http%3A//news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20120112/ap_on_bi_ge/us_unemployment_benefits

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NATALIE NUNN BRINGS DOWN THE HOUSE ON OXYGEN?S ?LOVE GAMES? ON MON, 1/16 @ 10PM ET/PT

?Bad Girls Club? Veteran Natalie Nunn Appears as Guest Star and Chats Live with Fans During the Show on www.oxygenlive.com First Look at Bad Girls Club: Las Vegas to Air at 9:45PM ET/PT on January 23 Natalie Nunn, stirs up trouble on a so-new ?Love Games: Bad Girls Need Love Too? on January 16 at [...]

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Friday, January 13, 2012

India official told to cover statues ahead of poll (AP)

LUCKNOW, India ? Workmen using truckloads of cloth raced Monday to comply with election officials who ordered a flamboyant Indian state leader to cover up a dozen large statues she erected of herself.

The Election Commission said the statues of Mayawati, who is a hero to India's lowest castes, were built using public money and their display violates rules for next month's election in her Uttar Pradesh state.

"This is done to provide a level playing field to all the political parties," said Umesh Sinha, the state's chief electoral officer.

Opposition parties had complained that the statues would influence voters. The images must be covered by Wednesday, Sinha said. The Election Commission also said that nearly 200 statues of elephants, her party's symbol, must be covered.

Mayawati, a former school teacher and leader of the Bahujan Samaj Party who uses only one name, has risen to the upper rungs of India's political landscape by tapping into the enormous voting base of dalits, who are at the bottom of Hinduism's caste structure.

Nine towering statues of the state leader ? seven made of bronze and two of marble ? and 125 statues of elephants adorn four lavish public parks in the state capital, Lucknow. Three other large statues of Mayawati and 62 more statues of elephants stand in a university and a memorial park in Noida, a suburb of New Delhi.

"It is an elephantine problem to drape these statues," Ramesh Shukla, a government officer overseeing the operations, said as workers with green and white cloth labored in parks in Lucknow. Some of the statues are almost 15 feet (4.6 meters) tall.

Mayawati's political opponents and critics accuse her of collecting diamond jewelry and homes and using millions of dollars of taxpayers' money to build the statues in honor of her party and herself.

Her party was quick to criticize the Election Commission's orders, asking if it would also remove lotus flowers from ponds or bar people from riding bicycles because they are symbols of rival parties.

Source: http://us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/rss/asia/*http%3A//news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20120109/ap_on_re_as/as_india_hiding_statues

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UN agency confirms Iran nuke work at bunker

This image provided by NASA shows the Strait of Hormuz taken from the International Space Station in Sept. 30, 2003. An Iranian newspaper quotes a senior commander in Iran's Revolutionary Guard Sunday Jan. 8, 2012 as saying that Tehran's leadership has decided to order the closure of the strategic Strait of Hormuz at the mouth of the Persian Gulf if the country's oil exports are blocked. (AP Photo/NASA)

This image provided by NASA shows the Strait of Hormuz taken from the International Space Station in Sept. 30, 2003. An Iranian newspaper quotes a senior commander in Iran's Revolutionary Guard Sunday Jan. 8, 2012 as saying that Tehran's leadership has decided to order the closure of the strategic Strait of Hormuz at the mouth of the Persian Gulf if the country's oil exports are blocked. (AP Photo/NASA)

FILE - In this April 8, 2008 file photo provided by the Iranian President's Office, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, center, visits the Natanz Uranium Enrichment Facility some 200 miles (322 kilometers) south of the capital Tehran. Iran has begun uranium enrichment at a new underground site well protected from possible airstrikes, a leading hardline newspaper reported Sunday, Jan. 8, 2011. (AP Photo/Iranian President's Office, File) NO SALES

(AP) ? The U.N. nuclear agency on Monday confirmed that Iran has begun enriching uranium at an underground bunker to a level that can be upgraded more quickly for use in a nuclear weapon than the nation's main enriched stockpile.

Comment from the International Atomic Energy Agency came after diplomats said that centrifuges at the Fordo site near Iran's holy city of Qom are churning out uranium enriched to 20 percent. That level is higher than the 3.5 percent being made at Iran's main enrichment plant and can be turned into fissile warhead material faster and with less work.

"The IAEA can confirm that Iran has started the production of uranium enriched up to 20 percent ... in the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant," said an agency statement, which used the alternate spelling for the site.

The move was expected, with Tehran announcing months ago that it would use the Fordo facility for 20 percent production. Iran began to further enrich a small part of its uranium stockpile to nearly 20 percent as of February 2010 at a less-protected experimental site, saying it needs the higher grade material to produce fuel for a Tehran reactor that makes medical radioisotopes for cancer patients.

But with the time and effort reduced between making weapons-grade uranium from the 20-percent level, the start of the Fordo operation increases international fears that Iran is determined to move closer to the ability to make nuclear warheads ? despite insistence by the Islamic Republic that it is enriching only to make reactor fuel.

Its dismissal of findings by the International Atomic Energy Agency of secret experimental work on a nuclear weapons program also worries the international community.

British Foreign Secretary William Hague called the move "a provocative act which further undermines Iran's claims that its program is entirely civilian in nature."

Tehran's "claim to be enriching for the Tehran Research Reactor does not stand up to serious scrutiny," he said in a statement. Hague said that Iran "already has sufficient enriched uranium to power the reactor for more than five years and has not even installed the equipment necessary to manufacture fuel elements" out of the enriched material.

Iran recently threatened to blockade the Strait of Hormuz, an important transit route for almost one-fifth of the oil traded globally. Tehran also has been angered by the West's efforts to sanction Iran over its nuclear program, including a possible ban on European imports of Iranian oil.

Fordo's location increases concerns.

The facility is a hardened tunnel and is protected by air defense missile batteries and the Revolutionary Guard. The site is located about 20 miles (32 kilometers) north of Qom, the religious nerve center of Iran's ruling system. The semiofficial Mehr news agency quoted Iran's nuclear chief, Fereidoun Abbasi, as saying Sunday that "the enemy doesn't have the ability to damage it."

Built next to a military complex, Fordo was long kept secret and was only acknowledged by Iran after it was identified by Western intelligence agencies in September 2009.

Hague said Fordo's size ? it is too small for an industrial enrichment complex of the type Iran says it needs to make fuel ? "location and clandestine nature raise serious questions about its ultimate purpose."

U.S. State Department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland also questioned Iran's motives.

"When you enrich to 20 percent, there is no possible reason for that if you're talking about a peaceful program," she told reporters. "So it generally tends to indicate that you are enriching to a level that takes you to a different kind of nuclear program."

Two diplomats spoke to The Associated Press on condition of anonymity because their information was confidential and based on an inspection of Fordo last week by the International Atomic Energy Agency.

They said 348 machines were operating at Fordo in two cascades ? the linked up configuration needed to enrich. Two other cascades were nearly assembled but not working, they said.

The centrifuges appeared to be the standard old-generation machines in use at the main enrichment site at Natanz and not advanced, more efficient prototype versions.

That, too, was confirmed by the IAEA, which said it was monitoring operations at the plant.

About 8,000 centrifuges are operating at Natanz, where five years of enrichment have turned out enough material for several nuclear warheads.

The Fordo startup was first reported Sunday by the daily Kaynan, a hardline newspaper close to Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who has the final word on all important matters of state. Abbasi was more circumspect, saying Saturday that his country will "soon" begin enrichment at Fordo.

It was impossible to reconcile the two reports. But the diplomats speculated that they could be a further reflection of divisions within Iran's ruling circles about how upfront the nation should be with nuclear activities that are drawing increasingly severe international penalties beyond four sets of U.N. Security Council sanctions.

Iran ? which claims it only seeks nuclear reactors for energy and research ? has sharply increased its threats and military posturing against stronger pressures, including U.S. sanctions targeting Iran's Central Bank in attempts to complicate its ability to sell oil.

A senior commander of the Revolutionary Guard force was recently quoted as saying Tehran's leadership has decided to order the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a strategic oil route, if the country's petroleum exports are blocked. Revolutionary Guard ground forces also staged war games in eastern Iran in an apparent display of resolve against U.S. forces just over the border in Afghanistan.

Iranian officials have issued similar threats, but this was the strongest statement yet by a top commander in the security establishment.

"The supreme authorities ... have insisted that if enemies block the export of our oil, we won't allow a drop of oil to pass through the Strait of Hormuz. This is the strategy of the Islamic Republic in countering such threats," Revolutionary Guard deputy commander Ali Ashraf Nouri was quoted as saying by another newspaper, the Khorasan daily.

Adding to Iran-U.S. tensions, Iran's state radio reported Monday that a Tehran court has convicted an American man of working for the CIA and sentenced him to death.

Iran charges that as a former U.S. Marine, Amir Mirzaei Hekmati received special training and served at U.S. military bases in Iraq and Afghanistan before heading to Iran for his alleged intelligence mission. The radio report did not say when the verdict was issued. Under Iranian law, Hekmati, a dual U.S.-Iranian national has 20 days to appeal. His father, a professor at a community college in Flint, Michigan, has said his son is not a CIA spy and was visiting his grandmothers in Iran when he was arrested.

In an interview broadcast Sunday, U.S. Defense Secretary Leon Panetta said Iran is laying the groundwork for making nuclear weapons someday, but is not yet building a bomb. Panetta reiterated U.S. concerns about a unilateral strike by Israel against Iran's nuclear facilities, saying the action could trigger Iranian retaliation against U.S. forces in the region.

"We have common cause here" with Israel, he said. "And the better approach is for us to work together."

Panetta's remarks on CBS' "Face the Nation" reflect the U.S. administration's long-held view that Iran is not yet committed to building a nuclear arsenal, only to create the industrial and scientific capacity to allow one if its leaders to decide to take that final step.

President Barack Obama approved new sanctions against Iran a week ago, targeting the central bank and its ability to sell petroleum abroad. The U.S. has delayed implementing the sanctions for at least six months, worried about sending the price of oil higher at a time when the global economy is struggling.

The U.S. and Israel have said that all options remain open, including military action, should Iran continue with its enrichment program.

___

George Jahn can be reached at http://twitter.com/georgejahn

___

Associated Press writer Bradley Klapper contributed from Washington.

Associated Press

Source: http://hosted2.ap.org/APDEFAULT/3d281c11a96b4ad082fe88aa0db04305/Article_2012-01-09-Iran-Nuclear/id-d6bbfe175ba5489fbbf4e55b8e0b0a61

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Thursday, January 12, 2012

Low, high-end retailers boom; mid-level founders

Andrew Burton / Reuters

Christmas decorations light up the outside of Macy's department store in Herald Square, Higher-end retailers, such as Macy's, did well this holiday season, as did the deep discounters. It was the middle that suffered.

By Martha C. White

Luxury brands and stores known for rock-bottom prices don't usually have much in common, but these polar opposites both enjoyed what many mass-market retailers missed during the holidays: positive sales figures.

Analysts say consumers are still shopping with recessionary mindsets and hunting for the cheapest prices on basic goods. While they'll pay more for unique products they deem splurge-worthy, three years of cautious spending have made them choosier about what they buy. This year, shoppers told once-sterling brand names like Sears and Gap, "We're just not that into you."

Earnings at upscale department stores including Nordstrom, Macy's and Saks all beat analysts' estimates. Affluent consumers, who pulled back when the stock market took a dive, are feeling more confident today, said?Alison Jatlow Levy, a retail strategist at consulting firm Kurt Salmon. Luxury retailers also sharply pared their inventories in response, and they've retained those lower levels. Customers today are more willing to pay full price because goods are likely to sell out before they have to be discounted.?

On the other side of the spectrum, the parent company of discount chains T.J. Maxx and Marshall's beat estimates, as did Ross Stores. Warehouse club Costco Wholesale had a 7 percent increase ? slightly below expectations but still healthy. (Wal-Mart, retail's 800-pound gorilla, doesn't release monthly sales figures.)?Even dollar stores are looking forward to 2012. Dollar General announced this week it plans to open 625 new stores this year and relocate or renovate another 550.?

The middle of the road didn't fare as well. These bigger companies can't rely on scarcity to keep prices high the way luxury brands can. When the recession froze spending, they slashed prices to compete with discount chains as their customers traded down. The economy has improved somewhat, but shoppers still have a siege mentality.?

"While the economy shows mild signs of recovery,?consumers haven't changed their behavior," Levy said. "The mindset of the middle market customer has markedly shifted" to focus more on value, she said.?

These stores have a challenge getting shoppers to trade back up, said?Samantha Panella, vice president of softline retail at Raymond James Financial.?"People will shop where they can get the lowest prices. In the middle, you really need to differentiate to get the customer through the door," she said.

?J.C. Penney and Kohl's both slugged it out with deep discounts, but both only ended the season bruised. Each lowered its earnings outlook after missing expectations. Sears Holdings didn't even wait until the new year to announce it would close up to 100 Sears and Kmart stores due to dismal holiday sales, in spite of huge markdowns.?

Deep discounts are a vicious cycle for stores, Levy said. They may drive sales, but it comes at the expense of profits.?It also teaches shoppers that if they just hold out, they won't have to pay full price for anything.?

Gap Inc., once the standard-bearer for mass-market apparel, capped off a bad year with a 4 percent drop in same-store sales. "Gap stands out as a laggard for most of this year," Panella said. Shoppers just aren't excited by what's on the racks, and the "basics" ??jeans, t-shirts, chinos ? aren't distinctive enough in consumers' minds to merit the price premium. Gap's ubiquity, once an asset, is now a hindrance. "They have a lot of stores, and that's a challenge," she said.?

Mid-tier retailers also are having a tough time because vying for a big chunk of the population means stocking clothes everybody wants to wear, Levy said. "You want to be everything to everybody. What happens when you're in that kind of position is overassorting ? a lot of styles, a lot of inventory." The invariable duds have to be deeply discounted before consumers will bite, which compounds?the problem. "It's almost like the retailers were nervous to take a bet on what the big styles would be," she said.?

Source: http://bottomline.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/01/06/10009692-low-high-end-sales-boom-while-mid-level-retailers-founder

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Fed survey shows economy ended 2011 with strength

In this Dec. 14, 2011 photo, line worker Jeff Danes demonstrates moving a battery charger for a Ford Focus on the assembly line at the Ford Michigan Assembly plant in Wayne, Mich. The final weeks of 2011 were the economy's strongest since it appeared to be slipping toward recession in late spring. (AP Photo/Paul Sancya)

In this Dec. 14, 2011 photo, line worker Jeff Danes demonstrates moving a battery charger for a Ford Focus on the assembly line at the Ford Michigan Assembly plant in Wayne, Mich. The final weeks of 2011 were the economy's strongest since it appeared to be slipping toward recession in late spring. (AP Photo/Paul Sancya)

In this Dec. 14, 2011 photo, a line worker assembles a Ford Focus at the Ford Michigan Assembly plant in Wayne, Mich. The final weeks of 2011 were the economy's strongest since it appeared to be slipping toward recession in late spring. (AP Photo/Paul Sancya)

(AP) ? The final weeks of 2011 were among the economy's strongest as Americans shopped and traveled more, ending the year with a shot of optimism for 2012.

That's the bright picture the Federal Reserve sketched in a survey released Wednesday. It said all but one of its 12 banking districts experienced some growth from late November through the end of the year.

Some sectors of the economy, notably housing, remain weak, the Fed said. But consumers spent more freely. Factories made more goods. Americans stepped up travel. And the auto industry enjoyed its best stretch of the year.

Economists noted greater confidence in the tone of the report. For example, the central bank described auto manufacturing as "vibrant" in several districts. Consumer spending was deemed "robust" in the Dallas region.

"It has been quite a while since we have seen the Fed use words like vibrant and robust to describe any part of the economy," said Brian Bethune, an economics professor at Amherst College. "I think one of the things driving the stronger language is that things are better than the Fed had been expecting."

The one district that didn't experience growth was Richmond, Va., although even there, the Fed said economic activity either "flattened or improved slightly."

The report comes just six months after the economy nearly stalled under the weight of high food and gas prices and supply disruptions from Japan that slowed U.S. manufacturing.

The economy and the job market have both improved since then. And December may end up being the strongest month of 2011. Employers added 200,000 jobs. And the unemployment rate fell to 8.5 percent ? the lowest rate in nearly three years.

"The Fed's report Wednesday confirms what everyone else has been seeing in the economic data from retail sales to auto sales and manufacturing ? activity is improving," said Jennifer Lee, senior economist at BMO Capital Markets.

Most of the Fed's districts reported holiday sales increased over last year. In particular, New York and Dallas' districts reported healthy gains. Boston, New York and Minneapolis reported exceptional growth in online sales.

Consumers are spending more on cars and travel, the survey noted. Auto sales in the Atlanta area were the best sales in more than two years. Boston, New York, Richmond and Atlanta experienced gains in tourism from a year ago. In Boston alone, businesses expect double-digit growth in hotel revenue in 2012.

U.S. manufacturing continued to lift the economy, particularly in industries that make heavy equipment and steel. That has helped boost energy, farming and auto manufacturing sectors, the report said.

The depressed housing market has hurt some manufacturers, and the Fed cited weakness among furniture manufacturers in the Richmond, St. Louis and San Francisco districts.

Inflation remained subdued, largely because high energy prices have eased. That may change in the new year. Oil has climbed above $100 a barrel again, and gas prices are creeping up.

The strength shown in the Fed survey reflected other positive economic reports.

Consumer confidence hit its highest point since the spring. U.S. automakers reported their two best months of sales for 2011 in November and December. And U.S. factories ended the year with their best month of growth since spring.

Most economists predict the economy grew at an annual rate of 3 percent in the final three months of last year. That would be an improvement from the summer, when the economy expanded just 1.8 percent, and much better than the 0.9 percent annual growth rate in the first half of 2011.

Still, the U.S. economic recovery remains vulnerable. Europe's debt crisis could lower demand for U.S. exports. Consumers may pull back on spending, especially if their wages continue to stagnate.

And Congress could decide not to extend a Social Security tax cut or long-term unemployment benefits, leaving many households with less income. Both measures expire at the end of February.

The Fed has been studying the economy's progress but announced no new actions to try to energize it after its Dec. 13 meeting. That was taken as a sign of confidence that the economy was in no immediate danger.

But in the minutes from the meeting released last week, the Fed said it will start this month announcing four times a year how long it plans to keep short-term interest rates at existing levels.

The change is intended to reassure consumers and investors that they will be able to borrow cheaply well into the future. And some economists said it could lead to further Fed action to try to invigorate the economy.

The Fed's next meeting is set for Jan. 24-25.

The Beige Book is released eight times a year. The findings from each of the Fed's regional bank districts are all anecdotal; there are no numbers.

The idea is to detect trends in consumer spending, manufacturing and real estate, among other areas. Consumer spending is particularly important because it accounts for about 70 percent of gross domestic product, the value of all goods and services produced in the United States.

Associated Press

Source: http://hosted2.ap.org/APDEFAULT/3d281c11a96b4ad082fe88aa0db04305/Article_2012-01-11-Beige%20Book/id-c818ea483dd54c309fc176f471175ebd

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